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Chart of the Day
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Today, the price of a barrel of crude oil rose to $59.70 intraday before closing at $58.90 as geopolitical tensions continue and oil suppliers struggle to keep up with demand. Today's chart illustrates that oil prices tend to rise from July to October as more cars hit the road for the summer driving season.
Den tidsfördröjning som skribenten valt för detta inlägg löpte nyss ut. Inlägget har därför aktiverats och är numera tillgängligt för alla. För dem som valt att stödja Aktieguiden genom den frivilliga medlemsavgift finns inga tidsfördröjningar.

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It is widely expected that the Fed will increase the fed funds rate by 0.25% later this week. For some perspective, today's chart illustrates the average change (blue line) in the fed funds rate following a major bottom. Based on this historical average, once the fed funds rate begins to rise it tends to keep rising for an average of about 19 months with an average increase of 3.4%. Currently (red line), rates are rising at a pace that is very similar to the last time Greenspan & Co. raised rates following a recession (gold dashed line). The current consensus on Wall Street is for two more 0.25% rate hikes (one this week and the next in August). After that, opinions tend to diverge. Whether it is to be two more hikes or three, history suggests that the end for this period of tightening is fast approaching.