Discount Interest Rate
Lite statistik som har cirkulerat hos många analytiker runt om i världen senaste dagarna...
Det handlar om Discount Rate som utlöser en kraftig nedgång på börsen varje gång den når 6%. Här talar man om en nedgång med 30%.
statistiken säger att detta hänt 8 gånger sedan 1913 (The founding of fed)
Om nu SPX faller med 30% så räkna med nivåer runt 930
detta läst jag på
http://www.21stcenturyalert.com/page/tcx/mbr/109/2006-05-16.html?sid=1147774105.2420
Jag kan inte bevisa att detta stämmer men tänkte jag dela denna information så kanske finns det nån här på Ag har några synpunkter...
länk till Discount rate
http://www.forecasts.org/disc.htm
mvh
"When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong."
Humphrey Neill
#0 Contrarian
Ytterligare hett stoff! Exact hur översättes "Discount rate" på svenska ?
mvh/viotto
discount rate---diskonteringsränta
Vet ej om det rätt översättning......
Här finns några länker som förklarar...tyvärr på engelska.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discount_rate
2)
The rate at which member banks may borrow short term funds directly from a Federal Reserve Bank. The discount rate is one of the two interest rates set by the Fed, the other being the Federal funds rate. The Fed actually controls this rate directly, but this fact does not really help in policy implementation, since banks can also find such funds elsewhere. also called Federal Reserve Discount Rate
http://www.investorwords.com/1478/discount_rate.html
"When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong."
Humphrey Neill
HISTORICAL DISCOUNT RATEHISTORICAL DISCOUNT RATE
http://minneapolisfed.org/research/data/us/disc.cfm
"When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong."
Humphrey Neill
Discount Rate
bild
"When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong."
Humphrey Neill
After Final Discount Rate Hike
There's quite a bit of talk about the market doing better once the Fed stops. However, more often than not the market has struggled after the last rate hike."
http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2006/04/after_final_dis.html
"When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong."
Humphrey Neill
Tack Contrarian. Avser alltså "Riksbankernas Styrränta (eg. två, en in, en ut) mot de bankinstitutioner som får låna in och ut i Riksbankerna".
Om styrräntorna kommer upp mot 6%-nivåerna kan man förstå om det blir en viss oro på börserna.
mvh/viotto
styrräntan motsvarar fed funds rate, discount rate motsvarar diskontoränta, har diskontoräntan någon praktisk betydelse?
Tillägg till # 0
Man skriver följande : It seems that every single time the Fed has raised the discount rate to 6% -- as they did last Wednesday -- equity markets have not only never rallied, but have always gone into a decline...
"When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong."
Humphrey Neill

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så här skriver David Nichols
This factoid has been circulating among various analysts, but the derivation of the research is credited to Ned Davis Research. I've also since learned that much of the credit for this idea should go to Edson Gould, who originated the "three steps and a stumble" rule regarding the Fed.
:-))
"When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong."
Humphrey Neill