kassaskåp 09
sp m
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
jämförelse
94-2003
2002-...
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
jämförelse
96-2003
2002-...
i bilden längst opp värt att anmärka är att i kanalen sen 2002, ligger vi sen 4 mån tillb på nivån 5.5
det ser inte så bra ut i day, men i månad är det ett tydligt stöd
rally kommer
när och hur?
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
http://www.aktieguiden.com/readfile.aspx?intFileID=7FD1A998-8ACD-4A46-B5BF-64E3B6DCA0D0
jag skulle luta mot att säga att vi bryter neråt
men koll på regression nivåer
visar sig att vi ligger på extrema nivåer, och att olika index gärna skulle sjunka vidare, om det inte var denna fib regression stöd
samtigt har deleveragin nåt katastrofala proportioner, så det är inte omöjligt att nivån 55 spricker och vi sjunker vidare mot 4-5000 och 89 nivån
än så länge dock är 7200 ett botten
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
Inlägget är redigerat av författaren.
Inlägget är redigerat av författaren.
här ser ni varför
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
dont klik alla på en gång, inte bra för AG servern
ssec
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
Alla har sina egna stöd här i livet, men den stora frågan är hur man reagerar när det händer och OM man gör det NÄR det händer....
Mvh TWA.
jaa, när det hände så var jag inte på allerten, dvs att den bröt ut ur wedgen
nu ere bara kuriösa för mig
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
dj week 2584
hoppas ni inte börjar klaga på färger å sånt
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
JUNE S&P e-MINI
DAILY CHART TREND: Lower to at 620 into early May; first target 720.
WEEKLY CHART TREND: Probably lower in April into early May and then higher into July 10.
PATTERNS and CYCLES: (4/1) The 830.25 region will hold this week and we are very skeptical it will get retested. We are clear on a 5-3-5 pattern toward 943 or 1000 forming here until July 10. We also feel that April is weak into early May and that could be the 3-wave decline and "b" wave. If the market cannot get through 830 this week, then there is still a 55% chance for a new low into May 10 low and probably that low will be at 620. The week of employment is heavy consolidation and at this point we doubt 814 will get taken out on the upside and 763 should hold on the downside going into the report. We have looked closely at cycles for Friday and they are mixed but more positive than negative. It may be that we get a sell-off on Sunday night that continues into Monday and Tuesday.
YEARLY OUTLOOK: (3/23) Overall for the year we are inclined to think that a temporary low has been put in and that a secondary low in early April will come. If we do go to 943-1000 into July, will the market congest the rest of the year between 666 and 1000 and that maybe even into August 2010. We know we have to be long from a secondary low into early April and we will see how high that gets us into July but 943 and 1000 are easy targets. So we may get a reprieve this year and we not see new lows until Dec. 2010. There should be a sense by the end of the year that the market is coming out of this mess.
MULTI-YEAR CYCLES: 2009-2017: Long-term research on the stock market shows the long term is not great but short-term it is much better.
For 2009, those cycles have suggest a low a high into early April, a pullback into early May and then a rally into about July 10 (which for sure is a high now) and then a secondary low into the end of August and then a new high into late October an choppy sideways action into the end of the year. We still need to overlap some other cycles on top of this but for now we may need to think that we are running out of time for this market to make new lows to 620 and a close above 800 will negate that possibility and new lows and those would not come in until Dec. 2010 at this point. We need to do some calculations on where the July 2010 high might go to.
For 2010: Cycle highs peak into July 2010 and then fall sharply into Dec. 2010. They recover into August 2011 and fall off into Dec. 2011. The year 2011 seems sideways to lower but could end up dropping much more significantly if we are correct about the dollar falling sharply. The biggest crash appears to happen Dec. 2012-July 2013, and that coincides with the 1993 banking crisis in the 120-year cycle. We see a recovery into August 2015 and then new lows to 2016 and April 2017 before the bear market is over. Folks who were trading from 1966-82 can remember that you can have 18-20 years of congestion at times. The mess we are in will go deeper than the 30's depression by the time we get to 2013-16. The good news is that a new economic system will come out of all of this.
Tjena dragspel!
Jag ser att du lägger ut en hel del grafer, men jag har väldigt svårt att förstå vad du menar. Kan du lägga till små kommentarer, så hade det varit jättebra.
Vet inte om det är jag som är dum i huvudet och inte förstår, men jag antar att du vill visa något.
Fortsätt gärna, men med små förklaringar till oss oinvigda.
Mvh
japp
Inlägget är redigerat av författaren.
16-19
det är regression line med magenta
i det här fallet så är det dragen från senaste major topp eller botten
de paralella linjerna är dragna @ fib avstånd .3 .5 .8 1.3 2.1 3.4 (1.3-3.4 röda) och 5.5
man kan säja att 5.5 (grönt) är ett extrem avvikelse
som du själv märker så hoppar index mellan olika nivåer som elektroner på olika orbiter i 1 atom, eller noterna på 1portativ
1jävla oväsen
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
Ok. Tack, då förstår jag lite bättre:)
rap
PM RAPPORTER, STÄMMOR OCH UTDELNINGAR, DATUMORDNING
22:36
(Stockholmsbörsen, First North, NGM, Aktietorget)
2009-06-09 Glycorex Stämma
2009-06-09 Lightlab Sweden Stämma
2009-06-10 Alphahelix Stämma
2009-06-10 Elekta Rapport
2009-06-10 Minidoc Stämma
2009-06-11 Acap Invest Stämma (extra)
2009-06-11 Addvise Rapport
2009-06-11 Clas Ohlson Rapport
2009-06-11 Hemtex Rapport
2009-06-11 Railcare Group Rapport
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2009-06-12 Aqua Terrena Stämma
2009-06-12 Netonnet Rapport
2009-06-12 Neurovive Stämma
2009-06-12 Swede Resources Rapport
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2009-06-15 Medcap Rapport
2009-06-16 Dacke Group Nordic Stämma
2009-06-16 Ginger Oil Stämma
2009-06-16 Insight Energy Stämma
2009-06-16 Seanet Stämma
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2009-06-17 Benchmark Oil Stämma
2009-06-17 Forsstrom Rapport
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2009-06-17 RNB Rapport
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2009-06-17 Svolder Rapport
2009-06-18 Catering Please Stämma
2009-06-18 Obducat Stämma
2009-06-18 Skistar Rapport
2009-06-23 Archelon Mineral Stämma (extra)
2009-06-23 Linear Stämma
2009-06-23 Lucent Oil Stämma
2009-06-23 Oasmia Rapport
2009-06-23 Rörvik Timber Stämma
2009-06-23 Water Jet Sweden Stämma
2009-06-24 24H Movies Stämma
2009-06-24 Hebi Health Care Rapport
2009-06-24 Hebi Health Care Stämma
2009-06-24 Kappahl Rapport
2009-06-24 Taurus Rapport
2009-06-25 H&M Rapport
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2009-06-26 Bergs Timber Rapport
2009-06-26 Do Networks Stämma
2009-06-26 Scandinavian Clinical Stämma
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2009-06-29 AU Holding Stämma
2009-06-29 Fundior Stämma
2009-06-29 Gift Today Stämma
2009-06-29 Safe at Sea Rapport
2009-06-30 Allokton Stämma
2009-06-30 Clean Oil Stämma
2009-06-30 Emitor Stämma
2009-06-30 Glass Safe Stämma
2009-06-30 Klick Data Rapport
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2009-06-30 Polyplank Stämma
2009-06-30 Redbet Stämma
2009-06-30 Venue Retail Group Rapport
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2009-07-02 Smarteq Stämma (extra)
2009-07-03 Ulyss Stämma
2009-07-03 Valuetree Stämma (extra)
2009-07-04 Fingerprint Cards Stämma
2009-07-06 Hexatronic Rapport
2009-07-08 Axis Rapport
2009-07-08 Brinova Rapport
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2009-07-14 Investor Rapport
2009-07-14 Karo Bio Rapport
2009-07-14 Partnertech Rapport
2009-07-15 Bioinvent Rapport
2009-07-15 Cellavision Rapport
2009-07-15 Countermine Rapport
2009-07-15 Diadrom Holding Rapport
2009-07-15 HMS Networks Rapport
2009-07-15 Megacon Rapport
2009-07-15 SBC Rapport
2009-07-15 SKF Rapport
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2009-07-17 Knowit Rapport
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2009-07-17 Note Rapport
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2009-07-20 Bringwell Rapport
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2009-07-20 Intrum Justitia Rapport
2009-07-20 Metro International Rapport
2009-07-20 SEB Rapport
2009-07-20 Sweco Rapport
2009-07-21 Addnode Rapport
2009-07-21 Aerocrine Rapport
2009-07-21 Autoliv Rapport
2009-07-21 Avensia Rapport
2009-07-21 Handelsbanken Rapport
2009-07-21 Lagercrantz Rapport
2009-07-21 Millicom Rapport
2009-07-21 Neonet Rapport
2009-07-21 Nolato Rapport
2009-07-21 Nordea Rapport
2009-07-21 Poolia Rapport
2009-07-21 Precise Biometrics Rapport
2009-07-21 Studsvik Rapport
2009-07-21 Transcom Rapport
2009-07-21 Volvo Rapport
2009-07-22 Beowulf Mining Stämma
2009-07-22 MTG Rapport
2009-07-22 Munters Rapport
2009-07-22 Profilgruppen Rapport
2009-07-22 Rezidor Rapport
2009-07-22 Tele2 Rapport
2009-07-23 ABB Rapport
2009-07-23 Billerud Rapport
2009-07-23 Biovitrum Rapport
2009-07-23 Brio Rapport
2009-07-23 Cision Rapport
2009-07-23 Enea Rapport
2009-07-23 Hexpol Rapport
2009-07-23 Jeeves Rapport
2009-07-23 Kinnevik Rapport
2009-07-23 Nordnet Rapport
2009-07-23 OEM Rapport
2009-07-23 Q-Med Rapport
2009-07-23 SCA Rapport (ca klockan 12)
2009-07-23 Scania Rapport
2009-07-23 Skanska Rapport
2009-07-23 Stora Enso Rapport
2009-07-24 Acando Rapport
2009-07-24 Betsson Rapport
2009-07-24 Betting Promotion Rapport
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2009-07-24 Ticket Rapport
2009-07-24 Trelleborg Rapport
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2009-07-27 Tricorona Rapport
2009-07-28 SJR Rapport
2009-07-29 Assa Abloy Rapport
2009-07-29 Bilia Rapport
2009-07-29 Duni Rapport
2009-07-30 Astrazeneca Rapport
2009-07-30 Hansa Medical Rapport
2009-07-30 Kopparberg Mineral Rapport
2009-07-30 Rejlers Rapport
2009-07-30 Travelpartner Rapport
2009-07-31 Anoto Rapport
2009-07-31 Hansa Medical Rapport
2009-07-31 Loomis Rapport
2009-07-31 New Nordic Healthbrands Rapport
2009-07-31 Ulyss Rapport
2009-08-03 Stävrullen Rapport
2009-08-04 Industrivärden Rapport
2009-08-04 Indutrade Rapport
2009-08-04 Niscayah Rapport
2009-08-04 Vinovo Rapport
2009-08-05 Artimplant Rapport
2009-08-05 IMSG Rapport
2009-08-05 Old Mutual Rapport
2009-08-05 Star Vault Rapport
2009-08-05 Wallenstam Rapport
2009-08-06 Active Biotech Rapport
2009-08-06 Heba Rapport
2009-08-06 Hexagon Rapport
2009-08-06 Lundin Mining Rapport
2009-08-07 Securitas Rapport
2009-08-07 Svensk Internetrekrytering Rapport
2009-08-10 Ework Rapport
2009-08-10 Medirox Rapport
2009-08-10 Netrevelation Rapport
2009-08-10 Unibet Rapport
2009-08-11 Aarhuskarlshamn Rapport
2009-08-11 Biolin Rapport
2009-08-11 H1 Communication Rapport
2009-08-11 Säki Rapport
2009-08-11 Tretti.se Rapport
2009-08-12 AIK Fotboll Rapport
2009-08-12 Concordia Rapport
2009-08-12 Lundin Petroleum Rapport
2009-08-12 MultiQ Rapport
2009-08-12 Novacast Rapport
2009-08-12 Oriflame Rapport
2009-08-12 PSI Group Rapport
2009-08-12 Readsoft Rapport
2009-08-12 SAS Rapport
2009-08-13 Academedia Rapport
2009-08-13 Aspiro Rapport
2009-08-13 Cardo Rapport
2009-08-13 Catech Rapport
2009-08-13 Dibs Payment Services Rapport
2009-08-13 Holmen Rapport
2009-08-13 Homemaid Rapport
2009-08-13 Panaxia Security Rapport
2009-08-13 Polyplank Rapport
2009-08-13 Resurs CNC Rapport
2009-08-13 Tagmaster Rapport
2009-08-14 Axichem Rapport
2009-08-14 Biotage Rapport
2009-08-14 CTT Systems Rapport
2009-08-14 Fagerhult Rapport
2009-08-14 Fingerprint Cards Rapport
2009-08-14 IBS Rapport
2009-08-14 Jello Rapport
2009-08-14 JLT Rapport
2009-08-14 Nederman Rapport
2009-08-14 Nibe Rapport
2009-08-14 Scirocco Rapport
2009-08-14 Strict Rapport
2009-08-17 Bredband2 Rapport
2009-08-17 Endomines Rapport
2009-08-17 Eurocon Consulting Rapport
2009-08-17 IDL Biotech Rapport
2009-08-17 Labs2 Rapport
2009-08-17 Lammhults Rapport
2009-08-17 Latour Rapport
2009-08-17 Midway Rapport
2009-08-17 Modul 1 Data Rapport
2009-08-17 Skåne-Möllan Rapport
2009-08-18 3L System Rapport
2009-08-18 Biogaia Rapport
2009-08-18 BTS Rapport
2009-08-18 HIQ Rapport
2009-08-18 Innate Rapport
2009-08-18 Meda Rapport
2009-08-18 Nordic Mines Rapport (under förmiddagen)
2009-08-18 Probi Rapport
2009-08-18 Tradedoubler Rapport
2009-08-18 Victoria Park Rapport
2009-08-19 Agellis Rapport
2009-08-19 B&B Tools Rapport
2009-08-19 Beijer Alma Rapport
2009-08-19 Catena Rapport
2009-08-19 Connecta Rapport
2009-08-19 DGC Rapport
2009-08-19 Din Bostad Rapport
2009-08-19 Doro Rapport
2009-08-19 Hakon Invest Rapport
2009-08-19 Insplanet Rapport
2009-08-19 Kungsleden Rapport
2009-08-19 Medicpen Rapport
2009-08-19 Midelfart Sonesson Rapport
2009-08-19 NCC Rapport
2009-08-19 Novotek Rapport
2009-08-19 PA Resources Rapport
2009-08-19 Pilum Rapport
2009-08-19 Sintercast Rapport
2009-08-19 Softronic Rapport
2009-08-19 Vostok Nafta Rapport
2009-08-20 Aros Quality Group Rapport
2009-08-20 Biolight Rapport
2009-08-20 Björn Borg Rapport
2009-08-20 Catering Please Rapport
2009-08-20 Digital Vision Rapport
2009-08-20 Drillcon Rapport
2009-08-20 East Capital Explorer Rapport
2009-08-20 Elos Rapport
2009-08-20 Genovis Rapport
2009-08-20 ICM Kungsholms Rapport
2009-08-20 Intellecta Rapport
2009-08-20 Kilsta Metall Rapport
2009-08-20 Malmbergs Rapport
2009-08-20 Melker Schörling Rapport
2009-08-20 Miris Holding Rapport
2009-08-20 Mobyson Rapport
2009-08-20 MSC Konsult Rapport
2009-08-20 Neurovive Rapport
2009-08-20 Odd Molly Rapport
2009-08-20 Opcon Rapport
2009-08-20 Ortivus Rapport
2009-08-20 Phonera Rapport
2009-08-20 Proffice Rapport
2009-08-20 Rasta Group Rapport
2009-08-20 Ratos Rapport
2009-08-20 Sagax Rapport
2009-08-20 Sensys Traffic Rapport
2009-08-20 Smarteq Rapport
2009-08-20 Temporär Förvaltning i Stock Rapport
2009-08-20 Tethys Oil Rapport
2009-08-20 Tractechnology Rapport
2009-08-20 VBG Rapport
2009-08-21 Avalon Enterprise Rapport
2009-08-21 Bong Ljungdahl Rapport
2009-08-21 Borevind Rapport
2009-08-21 Borås Wäfveri Rapport
2009-08-21 Chemel Rapport
2009-08-21 Conpharm Rapport
2009-08-21 Cybaero Rapport
2009-08-21 Dagon Rapport
2009-08-21 Dannemora Mineral Rapport
2009-08-21 Deflamo Rapport
2009-08-21 Gift Today Rapport
2009-08-21 Impact Coatings Rapport
2009-08-21 Micro Systemation Rapport
2009-08-21 NFO Drives Rapport
2009-08-21 NGS Rapport
2009-08-21 Orexo Rapport
2009-08-21 Pricer Rapport
2009-08-21 PSI Spelinvest Rapport
2009-08-21 Runaware Rapport
2009-08-21 Tilgin Rapport
2009-08-21 Trimera Rapport
2009-08-21 Vindico Security Rapport
2009-08-22 Ruric Rapport
2009-08-24 Addtech Stämma
2009-08-24 Annehem Rapport
2009-08-24 Black Earth Farming Rapport
2009-08-24 Cellpoint Rapport
2009-08-24 Ginger Oil Rapport
2009-08-24 Havsfrun Rapport
2009-08-24 JM Rapport
2009-08-24 Kabe Rapport
2009-08-24 Mobispine Rapport
2009-08-24 PV Enterprise Rapport
2009-08-24 Railcare Group Stämma
2009-08-24 Svedbergs Rapport
2009-08-24 Transatlantic Rapport
2009-08-24 Xtranet Rapport
2009-08-24 Önskefoto Rapport
2009-08-25 Acap Invest Rapport
2009-08-25 Accelerator Rapport
2009-08-25 Allokton Rapport
2009-08-25 Bure Rapport
2009-08-25 Capilon Rapport
2009-08-25 Corem Property Rapport
2009-08-25 Ellen Rapport
2009-08-25 Eniro Rapport
2009-08-25 Feelgood Rapport
2009-08-25 Gexco Rapport
2009-08-25 Insight Energy Rapport
2009-08-25 Intoi Rapport
2009-08-25 Kindwalls Bil Rapport
2009-08-25 New Wave Group Rapport
2009-08-25 Novestra Rapport
2009-08-25 NSP Holding Rapport
2009-08-25 Peab Rapport
2009-08-25 Redbet Rapport
2009-08-25 Seamless Rapport
2009-08-25 Tigran Technologies Rapport
2009-08-25 West International Rapport
2009-08-25 Yield Rapport
2009-08-26 A-com Rapport
2009-08-26 Aktiespridning i Sverige Rapport
2009-08-26 Aqua Terrena Rapport
2009-08-26 Axlon Rapport
2009-08-26 Bestin Rapport
2009-08-26 Confidence Rapport
2009-08-26 EDI Company Rapport
2009-08-26 Entraction Holding Rapport
2009-08-26 Eurocine Vaccines Rapport
2009-08-26 Forshem Rapport
2009-08-26 Fortnox Rapport
2009-08-26 Getupdated Rapport
2009-08-26 Hufvudstaden Rapport
2009-08-26 Human Care Rapport
2009-08-26 Ledstiernan Rapport
2009-08-26 Linkmed Rapport
2009-08-26 Lundbergs Rapport
2009-08-26 Medcap Stämma
2009-08-26 Mekonomen Rapport
2009-08-26 Rörvik Timber Rapport
2009-08-26 Skanditek Rapport
2009-08-26 Tripep Rapport
2009-08-26 Wiking Mineral Rapport
2009-08-26 Vita Nova Rapport
2009-08-27 Affärsstrategerna Rapport
2009-08-27 Alltele Rapport
2009-08-27 Alphahelix Rapport
2009-08-27 Altero Rapport
2009-08-27 Amhult 2 Rapport
2009-08-27 Aqualiv Rapport
2009-08-27 Archelon Mineral Rapport
2009-08-27 Avonova Rapport
2009-08-27 B&B Tools Stämma
2009-08-27 Balder Rapport
2009-08-27 Capital Oil Rapport
2009-08-27 Carl Lamm Holding Rapport
2009-08-27 Central Asia Gold Rapport
2009-08-27 Devicom Rapport
2009-08-27 Done Rapport
2009-08-27 DQE Rapport
2009-08-27 Elverket Vallentuna Rapport
2009-08-27 Empire Rapport
2009-08-27 EOS Russia Rapport
2009-08-27 Fast Partner Rapport
2009-08-27 Generic Rapport
2009-08-27 Mediaprovider Rapport
2009-08-27 Morphic Rapport
2009-08-27 Net Entertainment Rapport
2009-08-27 Opus Rapport
2009-08-27 Orasolv Rapport
2009-08-27 Paynova Rapport
2009-08-27 Raysearch Rapport
2009-08-27 Relation & Brand Rapport
2009-08-27 SRAB Rapport
2009-08-27 Stille Rapport
2009-08-27 Traction Rapport
2009-08-27 Trygga Hem Rapport
2009-08-27 Vitec Rapport
2009-08-27 XRF Analytical Rapport
2009-08-27 Xtracom Consulting Rapport
2009-08-28 24H Movies Rapport
2009-08-28 360 Holding Rapport
2009-08-28 Albin Metals Rapport
2009-08-28 B&M Impex Rapport
2009-08-28 Beowulf Mining Rapport
2009-08-28 Biophausia Rapport
2009-08-28 Community Entertainment Rapport
2009-08-28 Covial Device Rapport
2009-08-28 C-Rad Rapport
2009-08-28 Dacke Group Nordic Rapport
2009-08-28 Electra Rapport
2009-08-28 Esoteric Golf Rapport
2009-08-28 Firefly Rapport
2009-08-28 Global Gaming Rapport
2009-08-28 Globalfun Rapport
2009-08-28 Glycorex Rapport
2009-08-28 Hammar Invest Rapport
2009-08-28 Heart of Brands Rapport
2009-08-28 Hedson Technologies Rapport
2009-08-28 Hifab Rapport
2009-08-28 Hydropulsor Rapport
2009-08-28 Josab Rapport
2009-08-28 Lightlab Sweden Rapport
2009-08-28 Linear Rapport
2009-08-28 Malka Oil Rapport
2009-08-28 Mähler International Rapport
2009-08-28 Net Insight Rapport
2009-08-28 Nexus Rapport
2009-08-28 Nordic Camping Rapport
2009-08-28 Novus Group Rapport
2009-08-28 Oden Control Rapport
2009-08-28 Scandinavian Clinical Rapport
2009-08-28 Scribona Rapport
2009-08-28 Seanet Rapport
2009-08-28 Stormfågeln Rapport
2009-08-28 Unlimited Travel Rapport
2009-08-28 Wise Group Rapport
2009-08-29 Hebi Health Care Rapport
2009-08-29 Systemseparation Rapport
2009-08-30 Benchmark Oil Rapport
2009-08-31 AU Holding Rapport
2009-08-31 Biosensor Rapport
2009-08-31 Clean Oil Rapport
2009-08-31 Do Networks Rapport
2009-08-31 Euris Rapport
2009-08-31 Eurovip Rapport
2009-08-31 Forum SQL Rapport
2009-08-31 Fragus Rapport
2009-08-31 Fundior Rapport
2009-08-31 Guideline Rapport
2009-08-31 Kopparbergs Bryggeri Rapport
2009-08-31 Lagercrantz Stämma
2009-08-31 Lappland Goldminers Rapport
2009-08-31 LC-Tec Rapport
2009-08-31 Lifeassays Rapport
2009-08-31 Minidoc Rapport
2009-08-31 Paradox Entertainment Rapport
2009-08-31 Servage Rapport
2009-08-31 Trigon Rapport
2009-08-31 Twinblade Technologies Rapport
2009-08-31 Valuetree Rapport
2009-08-31 World Class Rapport
2009-09-02 Hemtex Stämma
2009-09-02 Medcap Rapport
2009-09-03 Systemair Stämma
2009-09-04 Netonnet Stämma
Inlägget är redigerat av författaren.
RES INTERVALL UT- 1 KV DATUM
PRG FALL 2008 (PREL)
TELEKOM:
AT&T 0:48 0:44-0:75 0:53 0:74
Cisco* 0:25 0:22-0:28 0:30 0:38
Juniper 0:17 0:15-0:19 0:17 0:27
Motorola -0:10 -0:15- -0:01 -0:08 -0:05
Nortel -0:13 -1:02 0:41
Qualcomm* 0:39 0:26-0:46 -0:03 0:54
RIM* 0:84 0:79-0:91 0:90 0:84
Sprint Nextel -0:06 -0:13-0:01 0:03 0:04
Verizon 0:58 0:56-0:61 0:63 0:61
DATA/IT:
AMD -0:61 -0:97-(-0:36)-0:66 -0:51
Apple* 1:09 0:97-1:23 1:33 1:16
Dell 0:23 0:06-0:30 0:24 0:38
Google 5:02 4:61-5:39 5:16 4:84
Hewlett-Packard* 0:85 0:81-0:89 0:86 0:87
IBM 1:66 1:55-1:75 1:70 1:65
Intel 0:03 -0:02-0:07 0:11 0:29
JDS Uniphase* -0:02 -0:05-0:04 -0:03 0:06
Microsoft* 0:40 0:34-0:50 0:39 0:50
Oracle* 0:44 0:43-0:46 0:47 25/06
RF Micro* -0:05 -0:10- -0:01 0:01 29/7
Sun* -0:17 -0:30- -0:03-0:07 0:00
Texas Instrum -0:01 -0:05-0:03 0:07 0:49
Time Warner 0:19 0:07-0:27 0:45 0:22
Yahoo 0:08 0:06-0:10 0:15 0:11
LÄKEMEDEL:
Abbott Labs 0:70 0:69-0:73 0:73 0:63
Accuray* 0:02 0:01-0:04 0:05 0:01
Allergan 0:53 0:50-0:69 0:55 0:53
Bristol-Myers 0:46 0:41-0:56 0:48 0:42
Eli Lilly 0:99 0:92-1:01 1:20 0:97
Johnson&Johnson 1:22 1:13-1:30 1:26 1:26
Medtronic* 0:82 0:80-0:84 0:82 0:78
Merck 0:78 0:71-0:89 0:74 0:89
Pfizer 0:48 0:42-0:53 0:54 0:61
Schering-Plough 0:47 0:38-0:55 0:56 0:53
Tomotherapy -0:24 -0:37- -0:12-0:26 0:12
Wyeth 0:92 0:85-1:01 0:95 0:89
BIO/MEDTEKNIK:
Amgen 1:15 1:10-1:19 1:08 1:12
Steris* 0:43 0:34-0:51 0:47 0:35
Varian* 0:59 0:57-0:61 0:64 0:56
SKOG:
AbitibiBowater -1:17 -1:62- -0:47 -1:32 7/8
Int Paper 0:07 -0:35-0:68 0:08 0:32
Kimberly-Clark 0:97 0:93-1:02 1:08 1:08
Meadwestvaco -0:24 -0:33-0:10 -0:16 -0:02
Smurfit-Stone -0:21 -0:28- -0:14 -0:09 28/7
Weyerhaeuser -0:79 -1:00- -0:29 -0:68 0:62
FORDON:
Caterpillar 0:05 -0:23-0:57 0:39 1:49
Deere* 1:07 0:68-1:26 1:11 1:74
Ford -1:24 -1:44- -0:81 -0:75 0:20
General Motors -10:65 -12:25- -7:92 -9:66 -0:62
Navistar* 0:70 0:22-0:96 0:64 2:88
Paccar* 0:06 -0:07-0:22 0:07 0:79
Wabco -0:09 -0:25-0:07 1:04 30/07
DETALJHANDEL:
Gap 0:30 0:17-0:29 0:31 0:34
Home Depot 0:29 0:19-0:36 0:35 0:41
Wal-Mart 0:76 0:73-0:77 0:77 0:76
FINANS:
American Express 0:13 0:01-0:43 0:32 0:84
Citigroup -0:29 -0:58-0:14 -0:18 -1:02
Goldman Sachs 1:64 0:84-2:80 3:39 3:23
JP Morgan Chase 0:33 0:20-0:45 0:40 0:68
Morgan Stanley 0:27 0:14-0:44 -0:57 1:45
Bank of America 0:04 0:02-0:61 0:44 0:23
ÖVRIGA:
Alcoa -0:56 -0:89- -0:19 -0:59 0:44
Avon Products 0:32 0:26-0:39 0:29 0:47
Black & Decker 0:09 0:05-0:14 0:22 1:29
Boeing 1:17 0:90-1:31 0:86 1:13
Briggs & Stratton* 0:63 0:60-0:67 0:51 0:60
CTC Media 0:04 0:03-0:04 0:15 0:26
Exxon Mobil 0:95 0:89-1:13 0:92 2:03
General Electric 0:21 0:19-0:30 0:26 0:44
Honeywell 0:54 0:48-0:61 0:54 0:85
Ingersoll-Rand -0:04 -0:22-0:29 -0:04 0:77
Kennametal* 0:06 0:00-0:18 0:01 0:75
P&G* 0:81 0:78-0:84 0:84 0:82
Rockwell* 0:29 0:10-0:44 0:29 0:96
Timken 0:08 -0:08-0:20 0:07 0:82
Toro* 0:90 0:88-1:00 1:00 1:60
Trimble 0:30 0:20-0:34 0:28 0:40
TRW -1:79 -3:59- -0:89-1:14 0:92
United Tech 0:78 0:73-0:86 0:78 1:05
Whirlpool -0:18 -0:68-0:19 0:91 1:22
US Steel Corp -1:67 -2:50- -0:74 -3:78 1:98
Prognoserna avser nettoresultat före engångsposter i amerikanska dollar, om ej annat anges, per aktie för perioden januari-mars 2009, sammanställda av Bloomberg News.
* Avser kvartalsresultat, brutet räkenskapsår
b Rapportdatum enligt Bloomberg News
bfm Rapport släpps före börsens öppning
bem Rapport släpps efter börsens stängning
xg dvs dax
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
me dvs euro$
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
dj m
ovan sen 29
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
fr zero
Title: Cameron dare not copy Obama's disastrous economic policiesShould he come to power, the Conservative leader must avoid the calamitous mistakes of the American president
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dear David (if I may),
You and your party may be the only hope we have for a resilient society insulated from negative Black Swans and in which everyone has the opportunity to benefit from positive Black Swans. For I despair of the Obama administration's ability to fix this financial crisis and prevent future ones. I am appalled by the dangers it has been creating and its takeover by the same economic establishment responsible for this crisis.
What is a Black Swan? It is a low-probability, high-impact event that, because of its rarity and the instability of the environment, cannot be scientifically evaluated in terms of risk and return. Although Black Swans are rarely predicted, they are retrospectively seen as having been anticipated, which makes us overestimate our abilities to see them coming. Black Swans can emerge as a result of our intellectual arrogance and our ignorance of our limitations. Some elements of the future are simply beyond our grasp.
Much of history has been dominated by Black Swans, both positive and negative. These deviations are the main reason economic theories and forecasts do not work, since the exceptional and unforeseen high-impact event plays a large role in economic life.
We live in an increasingly complex system and complexity causes Black Swans. How? The more interdependent we become, the harder it is to trace the cause of an event and the tougher to forecast accurately, meaning the traditional tools of economics will fail us. And since the spread of the internet, rumours go round the world in minutes. Consider the run on Icelandic banks. It took place at BlackBerry speed. So the economic variables, such as sales, commodity prices, unemployment or GDP growth, are subject to ever more extreme variations. The over-efficiency of the systems means things run smoothly, but are subject to rare but violent blow-ups.
David, you must counter this complexity by lowering indebtedness. We have known since Babylonian times that debt is treacherous and allows no room for mistakes: felix qui nihil debet goes the Roman proverb ("happy is he who owes nothing"). The combination of debt levels swollen from two decades of over-confidence with modern finance's complex derivatives has been disastrous.
Be careful, too, of the so-called science of economics. Economists have been no better in their predictions than cab drivers. We have an "expert" problem, in which the expert provides you with misplaced confidence, but no information. Because we think, correctly, that the dermatologist, the baker, the chemist are true experts (they know more about their respective subjects than the rest of us), we swallow the canard that the economists at the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve are also experts, without checking their record. This reliance on faux experts is, for the most part, what got us here. Now it is continuing with the build-up of government deficit and an increased reliance on flimsy forecasts by the Obama administration.
This problem with experts was particularly acute when it came to the "risk models" on which bankers built those positions that turned sour. So it is that you are coming under pressure to provide more regulation. Alas, the need for more regulation is a myth. I have been fighting risk models both as a Wall Street trader and as a professor and my worst nightmares were the results of regulators. It was they who promoted the reliance on ratings by credit agencies. The "value-at-risk" models regulators promoted made us take more risks.
If we are to have regulators, we need them to operate along conservative lines and conserve the rich knowledge and understanding of risk transmitted through generations of practice, of trial and error. We replaced the heuristics of the elders with arrogant (and incompetent) beliefs, breaking, in the name of science, the chain of knowledge. Old, conservative bankers and traders have been replaced by keen young mathematical analysts, yet anyone who listened to a grandmother who survived the Depression would have been warned against debt and been better prepared than Ben Bernanke and Alan Greenspan, respectively chairman and former chairman of America's Federal Reserve.
The solution is obvious: build an economy that increases the role of well-tested traditions. Ban financial derivatives that require advanced mathematics rather than trial and error. Look at mother nature. There is a complex system built around sound principles that has insured both evolution and survival. It does not let anything get too big to fail. It breaks things early. I don't understand why people who stand against tampering with nature accept tampering with the economy that would have organically grown too. Work on building a "robust" society, capable of withstanding errors, in which the role of finance (hence debt) would be minimal. We want a society in which people can make mistakes without risk of total collapse. Silicon Valley offers a good example, where people have the chance to fail fast (and repeatedly).
The best blueprint is the very opposite of the Obama administration's economic policies (its foreign policy is commendable). It has been administering pain-killers without addressing the cause of disease. Obama is strengthening those who do the wrong thing. Take the "cash for clunkers" programme. It is a handout to those who bought the wrong - uneconomic - car. He is penalising people who did not make a mistake. The same applies to other "rescues". By raising taxes after the crisis, the administration is hampering evolution. Those who do well in difficult times end up paying more tax and those who lost money in the crisis pay less. The rich who got us here are being rescued by regular Joes and being subsidised by the tax system.
Obama is giving the large institutions that failed us, like the IMF and the World Bank, even more powers. He is increasingly dependent on the visionary expert who failed us and does not understand the properties of complex systems and stifling long traditions of wisdom in understanding risk. Just consider the players: Larry Summers, director of the National Economic Council (who, among other things, made both Harvard University and the banking system more fragile), Bernanke (who increased reliance on the error-prone "models") and Tim Geithner, secretary of the US Treasury (who failed to understand that property prices can take extreme deviations).
I am particularly depressed because, having been disappointed by George W Bush, I had high hopes for Obama. David, spare us from such hubris.
Yours, Nassim
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan, is a professor of risk engineering at New York University.
dow fr 29
10800
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
What Ifs - Origin of The Formula(TM)
What if #1: What if you invested in the stock market from November through May only, using the mid-cap index, and held intermediate treasury bonds the rest of the time?
Answer: Since 1981 (the year the S&P MidCap 400 Index was created) your compound rate of return (gross of expenses) would have been 18.3% annually (as of 12/31/09). There was one down year - 1994, -6.7%. In 2008, you would have been up 1.7%, in 2009 up 21%.
Cause: The annual forecasting cycle, in which the "experts" begin predicting next year's earnings in November, continue to project unrealistic optimism until June, then begin to revise estimates downward. This raises investor expectations from November to June, thus "skewing" the market's positive monthly returns into the "power zone". The mid-cap sector of the market, being the best performing sector long-term, benefits most from this annual effect.
What if #2: What if you invested in the market for just 15 months every four years: the fourth quarter of the second year in the presidential term and the third year of the presidential term?
Answer: Over the past 50 years there have been 14 such periods, and the S&P 500 has averaged a 30.3% return, with no losing periods. Using NASDAQ, since its inception in 1961, there have been 12 such periods, generating an average return of 47.0%, with one losing period - 1986-87, -5.9%. The Dow Industrials have not experienced a loss during this period since 1931, with an average return of 25.5% (plus dividends).
Cause: The mid-term elections focus the political class on the next presidential election. As a result, the dominant party and all incumbents shift rhetorical gears, becoming more fiscally conservative and less aggressive in pushing controversial, society-altering legislation. The appearance of fiscal sobriety is reassuring to investors. Since 1931, the third year of the presidential term (the pre-election year) has generated about three times the average return of the other years in the cycle.
What if #3: What if you combined #1 and #2 into one "Formula"?
Answer: If you invested in the 15-month election cycle "power zone" with a portfolio split evenly between the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ 100, and invested in the remaining "power zone" months (November - May) using the S&P MidCap 400 Index, then sat out the remaining months (14 every four years) in a good bond fund, like the PIMCO Total Return Fund, you would have received a 20.3% annual return over the past 15 years, net of a 3% annual reduction for fees and expenses. You would have lost 8.4% in 2008, the only losing year. 2009 was up 24%, putting the strategy at a new high.
Warren Buffet once said that good investing is simple, but it's not easy. The Formula(TM) is simple: Be in the market when investor expectations are likely to be rising due to well-defined, powerful, cyclical forces. Otherwise, stay out. The hard part is ignoring all the informational "noise" that promotes indecision.
For a downloadable brochure on The Formula(TM), visit our website at www.alphaim.net. It's on the Home page.
Sincerely,
Jerry Minton, Ph.D.
President
Disclosure: Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
Alpha Investment Management, 2245 Gilbert Ave, Ste. 100, Cincinnati, Ohio 45206, USA
To unsubscribe or change subscriber options visit:
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"Hot can be cool & cool can be hot & each can be both. But hot or cool man, Jazz is Jazz." Louis Armstrong
nu har dj gått i mål @11100, typ
nas 100 week ser ni här
åsså kom det här me GS, möjligen vill obama/dom som drar i spakarna putsa usla pop siffror me tanke på valen som kommer
om nu kommer 1korr, hur stor kan den vara?
nas100, minidip 1960, modell större 1760
dj, sp,nas100 å rut ser ni i charten, markerade med pilar
377 veckor sen 2003 och de flesta index har mått mitten av regr channel, markerat med magenta
hur än det blir, have a good time
värme
"Hot can be cool & cool can be hot & each can be both. But hot or cool man, Jazz is Jazz." Louis Armstrong
dj w
"Hot can be cool & cool can be hot & each can be both. But hot or cool man, Jazz is Jazz." Louis Armstrong
sp
"Hot can be cool & cool can be hot & each can be both. But hot or cool man, Jazz is Jazz." Louis Armstrong
rut
rut kan tänka sej backa till feb2010, eller?
"Hot can be cool & cool can be hot & each can be both. But hot or cool man, Jazz is Jazz." Louis Armstrong
nas100 har gjort det, och lite till_dvs minidippen till 1960
"ingenting skärper tanken som utsikten att bli hängd" Samuel Johnson
nq day
nu är tebax in i kanalen
den gjorde maxdippen ikväll
"ingenting skärper tanken som utsikten att bli hängd" Samuel Johnson
gick i mål, se gröna pilar, men rörelsen var för våldsam för att bli ekonomiskt oberoende :-)
sp d, w
"ingenting skärper tanken som utsikten att bli hängd" Samuel Johnson
Visa sida
Ogilla! 3
Gilla!
sp w
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA