a g e n d a för travåschack wannabies
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA
saxo
What's going on?
· The disappointing Conference Board Consumer Confidence (out at 49.3 vs. 55.3 expected) led to a strong sell-off in stocks, but they came back somewhat late in the US session. Today?s figures are setting up for further disappointment, since the expectations for the ADP Employment Change are way too rosy. Expect a figure around -550K, which could lead to a test of 900 in the S&P500.
· EURUSD still above 1.40, but look out for a break of trend line support around 1.3958 if figures disappoint (yes, we know it should be USD negative, but markets don?t work like that these days, because it looks at the implications on a global scale, which means that globally negative surprises are USD positive). Also look out for US ISM and Auto Sales today.
· Commodities are under renewed pressure and treasuries see some buying interest.
FX
EURUSD-Risk of a deeper correction. Sell rallies to 1.4065-78 for sub-1.40 test, stop abv 1.4115.
EURJPY0/-135.0-136.0 a likely range. Slight preference to play from short side.
USDJPY0/-Sell rallies above 97.0 for a retracement back to 96.10-20, stop above 97.55.
GBPUSD-Expect more weakness. Sell rallies to 1.65, stop abv 1.6540 for 1.6330 target.
AUDUSD0/+Expect a test of 0.8000 suppt but seen holding for rebound back through 0.81.
Equities
DAX0/-Sell at the break of 4800 and target 4720. Stop above 4840.
FTSE0/-Sell at the break of 4214 targeting 4143. Stop above 4237.
S&P5000/-Sell at the break of 912 targeting 895. Stop above 919.
Nasdaq1000/-Sell at the break of 1466 targeting 1446. Stop above 1476.
Nikkei0
FX-Options
EURUSDTuesday?s trading again showed buyers of Thursday options indicating more uncertainty
can be expected on this Thursday?s NFP and ECB. Out to 1 month was more a mixture of both sellers and buyers, but with slightly more buyers on EUR calls, which suggests spot to go higher.
and buyers, but with slightly more buyers on EUR calls, which suggests spot to go higher.
Futures
Gold0/-Sell at the break of 923 and target 913. Stop below 927.
Silver-Sell around 13.60 and target 13.35. Stop above 13.70.
Oil0/-Sell on rallies towards 71.50 and target 69.50. Stop above 72.50.
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zero
det är marknaden som står för tolkandet av nyheterna och du tradar marknaden
TWA