'The bull never left'
Kanske jag kan kallar Richards Russel ny major call för seklets vändning och det är bara att respektera och beundra...
Och enligt Russel the bear market har ens startat...
mvh spx970
" Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful." Warren Buffet
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How soon will the stock market recover its losses of the past six months and reach new all-time highs? Russell's crystal ball is less clear in answering this question; he simply writes that it will happen "somewhere between 2008 and 2010."
In the meantime, he is advising clients to buy the Dow Diamonds ETF (DIA:Dow Diamonds ETF
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sl 6% under dagens kurs-81 pkter i sp500
haha
frågan är ju vad eller vem som ska lyfta index i ett "sista?" rally innan bearmarket startar?
om det är så illa att vi är nära slutet på en rejäl bullmarket är det inte risk att det börjar säljas av och tas hem vinster av de som har "tunga" innehav som tar lång tid att sälja av?
Men är det inte mycket hårklyveri bara.
Det vi håller på med nu är ingen "primary bear market" enligt honom, men det var inte heller nedgången 2000-2002. Och det kan dröja fram till 2010 dvs 2 år till innan vi bryter förra toppen.
Så vi har en möjlig kraftig nedgång under 1-2 år å ena sidan, samtidigt som vi på längre sikt är i en bullmarknad sen 1980.
OK, whats new??
(ska jag avslöja en hemlighet så är det att vi ligger i en bullmarknad sen man hittade på aktier)
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It would be easy to conclude that Russell simply took liberties with the truth in order to make him look better. But what makes his case interesting is the possibility that Russell actually believes what he wrote in this week's Barron's
mvh spx970
" Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful." Warren Buffet
Rotten Monday in the works?
Commentary: Richard Russell reminds us what often follows a lousy
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And for a really scary scenario, how about this, from Peter Eliades' Stock Market Cycles: "The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke convincingly below its long-term uptrend line from the Dec. 9, 1974 intraday low of 570.01. This could well be signaling the end of a 33-plus year uptrend in the stock market and mark the beginning of, at best, a multi-year sideways consolidation or, at worst, a painful bear market."
mvh spx970
" Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful." Warren Buffet
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Det svänger
Richard Russell has turned bearish on major trend...
mvh spx970
" Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful." Warren Buffet
I dont give a damn about it
don't be a turkey
NNT
Russell's bad year gets worse
mvh spx970
" Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful." Warren Buffet
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Ogilla! 0
Gilla!
Han säger ju att man ska köpa för allt man är värd då vi är mitt i en bullmarknad.
Och att bear market kommer senare.
:=)
Mvh Corpsee
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