Investors Intelligence

FED

No change.

``The porridge is too hot and too cold -- you can make an argument for the Fed either way,'' said former Dallas Fed Bank President Robert McTeer in an interview before the release. ``I am surprised inflation has not come down more than it has.''

 http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aLg8ws5x7xhM&refer=home

Text of Federal Reserve statement

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.
Economic growth slowed in the first part of this year and the adjustment in the housing sector is ongoing. Nevertheless, the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters.
Core inflation remains somewhat elevated. Although inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures.
In these circumstances, the Committee's predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected. Future policy adjustments will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were:

Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Cathy E. Minehan; Frederic S. Mishkin; Michael H. Moskow; William Poole; and Kevin M. Warsh.

# 0

SPX

Många nivåer att bevaka. 1485 eller ner mot 1474-1477 och lägre 1460-1463

Lägg märke till att nedgången under maj 2006 startade den 10 maj...

vilket inte betyder att vi kommer att uppleva samma mönster:-))

# 0

Dags att bevaka 1530...

Stängning över den öppnar dörren för 1553... annars en kraftigare resa ner börjar...

Resan ner kommer att  överstiga 12%...

Att köpa nu är absolut fel...

" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

Mycke nerver nu

S&P 500 is not far away from its all-time closing high of 1,527.46, hit on March 24, 2000.

" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

 The weekly figures from Investors Intelligence

The percent bullish came in at 53.8 (versus 54.3 last week) while the percent bearish registered 21.5 (versus 20.7 last week)...

" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

The VIX, a fear gauge that reveals investors' expectations, edged higher in May, ranging between 12.5 to 14.5 points. Historic volatility, which measures what actually happened, slid to about 9 points, notes Andrew Wolchek, a Citigroup equity-derivatives strategist.

'The investment community remains very wary of the recent equity-market strength,' he says. 'If that remains true, the bull may run farther, and declines will likely be viewed as buying opportunities.'"
----(Barron's - "The Striking Price" - 6/4/07)


" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

# 8

Här finns ingen rädsla alls... 

Economists say the recent fall in Chinese prices should have only a modest impact on the overall economy because China's growth is driven by exports, not the financial markets, and families have still much more money in savings than in shares.

" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

(sid 8) PPT intervention risk indicator ;) 

The weekly figures from Investors Intelligence

The percent bullish came in at 52.2 (versus 53.8 last week) while the percent bearish registered 22.8 (versus 21.5 last week)...


" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

 LowRisk.com

Investor Sentiment Report

6 / 5 / 2007



Below are the results of our weekly "Guess the Dow"
sentiment survey. The survey was taken from Monday 5/28
through Sunday 6/3 on the LowRisk.com web site.

30 day outlook:

40% bullish, 29% previous week
34% bearish, 37% previous week
26% neutral, 34% previous week

(percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding)

The median guess for the Dow closing value on Friday, 6/15:
13503 (it was 13602 last week).

" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

The weekly figures from Investors Intelligence

The percent bullish came in at 56.7 (versus 52.2 last week) while the percent bearish registered 21.1 (versus 22.8 last week)...



" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

#13 ökar bullish sentiment? 

# 14

Det stämmer men mer bear hos LowRisk.com

Investor Sentiment Report

6 / 13 / 2007




Below are the results of our weekly "Guess the Dow"
sentiment survey. The survey was taken from Monday 6/4
through Sunday 6/10 on the LowRisk.com web site.

30 day outlook:

14% bullish, 40% previous week
60% bearish, 34% previous week
25% neutral, 26% previous week

(percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding)

The median guess for the Dow closing value on Friday, 6/22:
13382 (it was 13503 last week).

" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970

Currency Volatility to Rise, Eroding Carry Trade, Goldman Says

``There is a good chance that we might be forming a bottom in foreign exchange volatility,'' said Jens Nordvig, a senior currency strategist at Goldman in New York. ``It might be difficult for the carry trade to sustain the type of performance it has had if the trend lower in volatility doesn't persist.''

....

Merrill Lynch & Co.'s MOVE Index, based on prices of over- the-counter options on Treasuries maturing in two to 30 years, rose to 85.2 on June 12, the highest since July 2005. The index had fallen to 51.2 in May, the lowest since April 1988 when Merrill began tracking the data.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aNMqnIXqeu9s&refer=home

" When your hairdresser starts giving you stock tips, get out quick and wait..." mvh SPX 970